The last three recessions were quite different from most preceding recessions because they were precipitated by crisis factors other than the business cycle. The next recession probably won't be a ...

The definition of a recession can be pretty technical. The short version is if there’s a drop in gross domestic product (GDP) for two consecutive quarters. In the United States, the National Bureau of ...

A trough, in economic terms, can refer to a stage in the business cycle where activity is bottoming, or where prices are bottoming, before a rise.

Let’s say you’re an armchair economist and you think the U.S. economy is already in a recession (as many people do). Or maybe you’re sure it’s still growing. Either way, you would love to serve on the ...

James Kostohryz shares why asset allocation is crucial for individual investors to achieve alpha, especially by sidestepping bear markets and reentering at favorable valuations. The U.S. economy faces ...

Economic data still shows growth, low unemployment, and resilient spending, yet conversations at kitchen tables and in group ...

About the authors: Edward Yardeni is president and chief investment strategist and Eric Wallerstein is chief markets strategist at Yardeni Research. Tightening monetary policy did not cause a ...

WASHINGTON (AP) — Stock markets are plunging, consumers and businesses have started to sour on the economy, and economists are marking down their estimates for growth this year, with some even seeing ...

The economist and market strategist David Rosenberg took a lot of heat for predicting that the Federal Reserve’s big increase in interest rates would tip the U.S. economy into recession. “I spent most ...

President Trump sparked concerns this week when he declined to rule out the possibility of a U.S. recession this year. Asked on Fox news if he expects such a slump, Mr. Trump said, "I hate to predict ...

Stagflation is an economic cycle marked by high inflation, high unemployment and sluggish economic growth—an uncommon combination of circumstances. The financial headlines of 2025 have been heavy with ...

Introduction -- Part I: The best of times -- New age economics -- Golden globe -- Competing on a violent scale -- By legislation or fiat -- Where credit is due -- Castles in Spain -- Part II: The ...